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Toddler Exposure Model (1-3 Years)

Dual Particle / Chemical Pathway model: Dust Ingestion + Resuspended Dust Inhalation. Chemical Leaching calculated separately.

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Particle Pathway — Step 1: External (Gross) Toddler Dose — Particles Entering the Body
External = (IR_dust × C_dust) + (C_resus × IR_breath × Hrs_active)

Particle Pathway — Step 2: Systemic (Internal) Toddler Dose — Particles Reaching the Bloodstream [ / BW ]
Systemic = (IR_dust × C_dust) × Gut_Trans + (C_resus × IR_breath × Hrs_active) × (Pulm_frac × Pulm_Trans + MCC_frac × Gut_Trans)
External dose is the total particles entering the body from dust ingestion plus inhalation, before any biological barriers. Systemic dose applies size- and morphology-dependent kinetic translocation fractions: ingested dust passes through the gut barrier (Gut_Trans), inhaled particles split into pulmonary (direct to bloodstream via Pulm_Trans) and MCC (swallowed → gut via Gut_Trans). Kinetic translocation fractions (Gut_Trans, Pulm_Trans) and life-stage modifiers are as defined in the Model Documentation page.
Chemical Migration: Toy Mouthing (Mass-Based, separate metric — no kinetic filtering)
EDI_toy_chem (µg/day) = Rmgr × (Contact_Area / 10) × t_mouthing × Active_Hours [ / BW ]
The mass-based chemical migration from toy mouthing remains separate as it is in µg/day — it is not subjected to particle kinetic calculation because chemical migration is driven by leach rates, not particle translocation. Note that this pathway models chemical leaching from whole plastics, not particles. It is a methodological placeholder until data regarding particle shedding from mouthed toys becomes available.
1. Particle & Hazard Characterisation

Particle size and morphology drive the kinetic parameters that govern how external exposure translates into internal dose — specifically airway and lung deposition fractions, as well as placental, gut and pulmonary translocation fractions. These fractions are retrieved from a size- and morphology‑based kinetic lookup table derived from published values (see documentation). Clearance kinetics are not currently modelled; the framework currently assumes that once MNPs enter the systemic circulation they are not cleared. Polymer and chemical toxicity scores [Christopher et al. 2024] combine with automatic size/morphology modifiers to produce the final hazard score.

Particle Size

Source: [van Boxel 2025; ICRP 66]

Morphology

Source: [Sturm 2012; Zhou 1996]

Polymer & Chemical Profile

Source: [Christopher et al. 2024]

Defaults are set for a high-concern scenario (mouthing of high-priority polymer toys). Adjust the Polymer Toxicity score for safer toy materials.

2. Toddler Biometrics

Body Weight (BW) [kg]

Source: [WHO Child Growth Standards]

Normalisation Metric

Source: [Standard RA Practice vs. Particle-Specific]

Applies to both pathways: particles/kg-bw/day and µg/kg-bw/day when normalized.

3. Direct Dust Ingestion

Dust Ingestion Rate (IR_dust) [mg/day]

Source: [EPA ExpoBox - General Population]

Dust Concentration (C_dust) [p/mg]

Source: [Zhang et al. 2021; Jenner et al. 2022]

Default revised from 500 to 50 p/mg following the Phase 0 audit (Issue #4b). Consistent with the infant model. Jenner et al. (2022) report typical indoor settled dust MNP concentrations of 2–90 p/mg for inhalable fibres; 50 p/mg is a conservative mid-range value.

4. Chemical Migration via Toy Mouthing

Mass-based approach per Aurisano, N. et al. (2022), J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol 32, 94–102. Replaces the former surrogate particle-based toy emission rate with a validated chemical migration model.

Chemical Migration Rate (Rmgr) [µg/10cm²/min]

Source: [Aurisano et al. 2022 — PVC plasticizer migration rates]

Conservative default for DINP plasticizer in PVC soft toys (upper empirical range ~10 µg/10cm²/min).

Mouthing Duration (t_mouthing) [min/hr]

Source: [Aurisano et al. 2022, Table 2 — citing US EPA EFH]

Corrected unit: min/hour (not min/day). Mean 1.8, 99th percentile 6.3 min/hr for toddlers (2–3 yrs).

Active Hours per Day [hr/day]

Source: [Aurisano et al. 2022 — typical toddler awake window]

Contact Area [cm²]

Source: [Aurisano et al. 2022 — standard mouthing surface area]

Standardised mouthing contact area (default: 10 cm² per Aurisano et al. 2022).

5. Resuspended Dust Inhalation

Inhalation pathway added in Phase A, citing Ni, Y. et al. (2026), J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. Toddlers resuspend settled dust through active play; the resuspended concentration, breathing rate, active hours, and deposition fraction together determine the inhaled particle dose. Note: This pathway combines with Section 3 (Direct Dust Ingestion) into a single combined particle dose — both produce particles/day in the same kinetic framework.

Resuspended Dust Conc. (C_resus) [p/m³]

Source: [Kacprzak 2025; Hassan 2025 — indoor resuspension]

Active Breathing Rate (IR_breath) [m³/hr]

Source: [Ni et al. 2026 — RR=30.4, VT=82.6mL, MV=2.51 L/min → ~0.3 m³/hr active]

Active Hours [hr/day]

Source: [EPA EFH — age-resolved, toddler range]
6. Risk Matrix Options

Exposure Thresholds (Particle Pathway)

Source: [User Defined]

Note on Thresholds

Exposure thresholds are currently arbitrary and user-definable. What constitutes Low, Medium and High in terms of daily particle exposures is to be resolved by scientific consensus.